Counting Down to Collapse: The Science of Forecasting Pesticide Resistance Timelines
Pesticide resistance is not an unpredictable biological accident—it is an evolutionary process governed by measurable parameters that scientists are increasingly able to model with quantitative precision. By integrating population genetics, field surveillance data, and computational evolutionary modeling, researchers are building frameworks capable of estimating how long a given pesticide will remain effective before resistance renders it obsolete. This article examines the mechanics of those pr